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The Dip
by Seth
Godin
THE DIP: A Little Book That
Teaches You When to Quit (and When to Stick)
by Seth Godin (Do You Zoom
2007)
Extraordinary
benefits accrue to the tiny minority of people who are able to push just a tiny
bit longer than most.
Extraordinary
benefits also accrue to the tiny majority[sic] with the guys to quit early and
refocus their efforts on something new.
In
both bases, it’s about being the best in the world. About getting through the
hard stuff and coming out on the other side.
Quit
the wrong stuff.
Stick
with the right stuff. Have the guts to do one or the other.
The
Reason Number One Matters
With
limited time or opportunity to experiment, we intentionally narrow our choices
to those at the top. . . . As a result, the rewards for being first are
enormous. It’s not a linear scale. It’s not a matter of getting a little
more after giving a little more. It’s a curve, and a steep one.
Anyone
who is going to hire you, buy from you, recommend you, vote for you, or do what
you want them to do is going to wonder if you’re the best choice.
Best
as in: best for them, right now, based on what they believe and what they
know. And in the world as in: their world, the world they have access to.
The
Biggest Mistake They Made in School
Just
about everything you learned in school about life is wrong, but the wrongest
thing might very well be this: Being well rounded is the secret to success.
How
often do you look for someone who is actually quite good at the things you
don’t need her to do? How often do you hope that your accountant is a safe
driver and a decent golfer?
In
a free market, we reward the exceptional.
Most
people will tell you that you need to persevere—to try harder, put in more
hours, get more training, and work hard. “Don’t quit!” they implore. But
if all you need to do to succeed is not quit, then why do organizations less
motivated than yours succeed? Why do individuals less talented than you win?
It
involves understanding the architecture of quitting, and, believe it or not, it
means quitting a lot more than you do now.
CURVE
1: THE DIP
Almost
everything in life worth doing is controlled by the Dip.
At
the beginning, when you first start something, it’s fun. . . . it’s
interesting, and you get plenty of good feedback from the people around you.
Over
the next few days and weeks, the rapid learning you experience keeps you going.
Whatever your new thing is, it’s easy to stay engaged in it.
And
then the Dip happens.
The
Dip is the long slog between starting and mastery. A long slog that’s actually
a shortcut, because it gets you where you want to go faster than any other path.
The
Dip is the combination of bureaucracy and busywork you must deal with in order
to get certified . . . the difference between the easy “beginner” technique
and the more useful “expert” approach . . . the long stretch between
beginner’s luck and real accomplishment . . . the set of artificial screens
set up to keep people like you out.
At
the beginning, . . . you get all sorts of positive feedback and support. . . .
But soon, the incredible grind . . . kicks in, and you realize you’re doomed.
IMPORTANT
NOTE: Successful people don’t just ride out the Dip. They don’t just buckle
down and survive it. No, they lean into the Dip. They push harder, changing the
rules as they go. Just because you know you’re in the Dip doesn’t mean you
have to live happily with it. Dips don’t last quite as long when you whittle
at them.
CURVE
2: THE CUL-DO-SAC
The
Cul-de-Sac (French for “dead end”) is so simple it doesn’t even need a
chart. It’s a situation where you work and you work and you work and nothing
much changes. It doesn’t get a lot better, it doesn’t get a lot worse. It
just is.
There’s
not a lot to say about the Cul-de-Sac except to realize that it exists and to
embrace the fact that when you find one, you need to get off it, fast. That’s
because a dead end is keeping you from doing something else. The opportunity
cost of investing your life in something that’s not going to get better is
just too high.
Stick
with the Dips that are likely to pan out, and quit the Cul-de-Sacs to focus your
resources. That’s it.
If
you find yourself facing [this] curve, you need to quit. Not soon, but right
now. The biggest obstacle to success in life, as far as I can tell, is our
inability to quit these curves soon enough.
I
mean, you know it, but my guess is
that you’re not doing anything about it. When it comes right down to it, right
down to the hard decisions, are you quitting any project that isn’t a Dip? Or
is it just easier not to rock the boat, to hang in there, to avoid the
short-term hassle of changing paths? What’s the point of sticking it out if
you’re not going to get the benefits of being the best in the world? Are you
over-investing (really significantly overinvesting) time and money so that you
have a much greater chance of dominating a market? And if you don’t have
enough time and money, do you have the guts to pick a different, smaller market
to conquer?
The
brave thing to do is to tough it out
and end up on the other side—getting all the benefits that come from scarcity.
The mature thing is not even to bother
starting to snowboard because you’re probably not going to make it through the
Dip. And the stupid thing to do is to
start, give it your best shot, waste a lot of time and money, and quit right in
the middle of the Dip.
The
Lie of diversification—What Woodpeckers Know
When
faced with the Dip, many individuals and organizations diversify. If you can’t
get to the next level, the thinking goes, invest your energy in leaning to do
something else. This leads to record labels with thousands of artists instead of
focused promotion for just a few. It leads to job seekers who can demonstrate
competency at a dozen tasks instead of mastery of just one.
Hardworking,
motivated people find diversification a natural outlet for their energy and
drive. Diversification feels like the right thing to do. Enter a new market,
apply for a job in a new area, start a new sport. Who knows? This might just be
the one.
And
yet the real success goes to those who obsess. The focus that leads you through
the Dip to the other side is rewarded by a marketplace in search of the best in
the world.
A
woodpecker can tap twenty times on a thousand trees and get nowhere, but stay
busy. Or he can tap twenty-thousand time on one tree and get dinner.
How
Arnold
Beat the Dip
Like
most people, all day long, every day, you use your muscles. But they don’t
grow. You don’t look like Mr. Universe because you quit using your muscles
before you reach the moment where the stress causes them to start growing.
It’s the natural thing to do, because an exhausted muscle feels unsafe—and
it hurts.
It’s
human nature to quit when it hurts. But it’s that reflex that creates
scarcity.
Simple:
If you can’t make it through the Dip, don’t start.
If
you can embrace that simple rule, you’ll be a lot choosier about which
journeys you start.
Superstar
Thinking
If
you want to be a superstar, then you need to find a field with a steep Dip—a
barrier between those who try and those who succeed. And you’ve got to get
through that Dip to the other side. This isn’t for everyone. If it were,
there’d be no superstars. If you choose this path, it’s because you realize
that there’s a Dip, and you believe you can get through it. The Dip is
actually your greatest ally because it makes the project worthwhile (and keeps
others from competing with you).
But
wait, that’s not enough. Not only do you need to find a Dip that you can
conquer but you also need to quit all the Cul-de-Sacs that you’re currently
idling your way through. You must quit the projects and investments and
endeavors that don’t offer you the same opportunity. It’s difficult, but
it’s vitally important.
Seven
Reasons You Might Fail to Become the Best in the World
You
run out of time (and quit).
You
run out of money (and quit).
You
get scared (and quit).
You’re
not serious about it (and quit).
You
lose interest or enthusiasm or settle for being mediocre (and quit).
You
focus on the short term instead of the long (and quit when the short term gets
too hard).
You
pick the wrong thing at which to be the best in the world (because you don’t
have the talent).
In
The Wizard of Oz, there’s an
incredible image of the man behind the curtain, laughing at Dorothy and her
friends as he gives them incredibly difficult, almost impossible tasks to
accomplish. While he lives the easy life in Oz, he supports himself by sending
his acolytes off on impossible missions.
It’s
no wonder we quit. The system wants us to.
CONCEPTUAL
DIP—You got this far operating under one set of assumptions. Abandoning those
assumptions and embracing a new, bigger set may be exactly what you need to do
to get to the next level. The heroes who have reinvented institutions and
industries . . . all did it in exactly the same way—by working through a
conceptual Dip all the way to the other side.
You
know this already. You’re not stupid, and you’ve noticed all your life that
the big benefits accrue to those who don’t quit. And it hasn’t made a
difference so far, so why should you listen to me now?
Simple.
It’s about the story you tell yourself. You grew up believing that quitting is
a moral failing. . . . I’d rather have you focus on quitting (or not quitting)
as a go-up opportunity. It’s not
about avoiding the humiliation of failure. Even more important, you can realize
that quitting the stuff you don’t care about or the stuff you’re mediocre at
or better yet quitting the Cul-de-Sacs frees up your resources to obsess about
the Dips that matter.
If
you’re going to quit, quit before you start. Reject the system. Don’t play
the game if you realize you can’t be the best in the world.
Average
is for Losers
The
next time you catch yourself being average when you feel like quitting, realize
that you have only two good choices: Quit or be exceptional. Average is for
losers.
Am
I being too harsh? Isn’t your time and your effort and your career and your
reputation too valuable to squander on just being average? Average feels safe,
but it’s not. It’s invisible. It’s the last choice—the path of least
resistance. The temptation to be average is just another kind of quitting . . .
the kind to be avoided. You deserve better than average.
Salespeople
Who Quit
A
well-respected study (probably apocryphal) found that the typical salesperson
gives up after the fifth contact with a prospect. After five times, the
salesperson figures she’s wasting her time and the prospect’s, quits, and
moves on.
Of
course, the study reports that 80 percent of these customers buy on the seventh
attempt to close the sale. If only the salesperson had stuck it out!
The
Opposite of Quitting Isn’t “Waiting Around”
No,
the opposite of quitting is rededication.
The opposite of quitting is an invigorated
new strategy designed to break the problem apart.
Coping
Is a Lousy Alternative to Quitting
Coping
is what people do when they try to muddle through. They cope with a bad job or a
difficult task. The problem with coping is that it never leads to exceptional
performance. Mediocre work is rarely because of a lack of talent and often
because of the Cul-de-Sac. All coping does is waste your time and misdirect your
energy. If the best you can do is cope, you’re better off quitting.
Quitting
is better than coping because quitting frees you up to excel at something else.
Three
Questions to Ask Before Quitting
QUESTION
1: AM I PANICKING?
Quitting
is not the same as panicking. Panic is never premeditated. Panic attacks us, it
grabs us, it is in the moment.
Quitting
when you’re panicked is dangerous and expensive. The best quitters, as we’ve
seen, are the ones who decide in advance when
they’re going to quit. You can always quit later—so wait until you’re done
panicking to decide.
When
the pressure is greatest to compromise, to drop out, or to settle, your desire
to quit should be at its lowest. The decision to quit is often made in the
moment. But that’s exactly the wrong time to make such a critical decision.
The reason so many of us quit in the Dip is that without a compass or a plan,
the easiest thing to do is to give up. While that might be the easiest path,
it’s also the least successful one.
QUESTION
2: WHO AM I TRYING TO INFLUENCE?
If
you’re trying to influence a market, though, the rules are different. Sure,
some of the people in a market have considered you (and even rejected you). But
most of the people in the market have never even heard of you. The market
doesn’t have just one mind. Different people in the market are seeking
different things.
Influencing
one person is like scaling a wall. If you get over the wall the first few tries,
you’re in. if you don’t often you’ll find that the wall gets higher with
each attempt.
Influencing
a market, on the other hand, is more of a hill than a wall. You can make
progress, one step at a time, and as you get higher, it actually gets easier.
People in the market talk to each other. They are influenced by each other. So
every step of progress you make actually gets amplified.
QUESTION
3: WHAT SORT OF MEASURABLE PROGRESS AM I MAKING?
You
don’t define yourself by the tactics you use. Instead, your organization
succeeds or fails in its efforts to reach its big goals. And the moment your
tactics are no longer part of winning the Dip—the moment they are in a Cul-de-Sac—you
are obligated to switch tactics at the same time you most definitely keep aiming
for the bigger goal.
You’re
Astonishing
How
dare you waste it.
You
and your organization have the power to change everything. To create remarkable
products and services. To over deliver. To be the best in the world.
How
dare you squander that resource by spreading it too thin.
How
dare you settle for mediocre just because you’re busy coping with too many
things on your agenda, racing against the clock to get it all done.
The
lesson is simple: If you’ve got as much as you’ve got, use it. Use it to
become the best in the world, to change the game, to set the agenda for everyone
else. You can only do that by marshaling all your resources to get through the
biggest possible Dip. In order to get through that Dip, you’ll need to quit
everything else. If it’s not going to put a dent in the world, quit. Right
now. Quit and use that void to find the energy to assault the Dip that matters.
Go
ahead, make something happen. We’re waiting!
All
our successes are the same. All our failures, too.
We
succeed when we do something remarkable.
We
fail when we give up too soon.
We
succeed when we are the best in the world at what we do.
We
fail when we get distracted by tasks we don’t have the guts to quit.
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